Growth Opportunities in the Canadian Marijuana Market

The Canadian marijuana market is expected to grow fast and based on our model, it is still well under-penetrated, leaving room for significant growth and potential new entrants (assuming their facilities can be financed). We have forecast the peak Canadian marijuana market size to be over $2.5-billion in 2020, assuming full legalization down the road (over $1.1-billion in 2020 without full legalization) - some of these sales are being cannibalized to the black market via dispensaries.

Details of each segment within this industry are provided in this report, as we have constructed a detailed marijuana model to look at the Canadian opportunity. Our marijuana model assumes that the Canadian market would follow a similar growth trajectory and market penetration trend as has occurred in Colorado and Oregon. We have done a price sensitivity analysis of four different marijuana prices, looking at the total Canadian market size. Even if investors assume...

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