Medical marijuana amendment could sway 2016 presidential election

If the Florida Legislature fails to pass a medical marijuana bill this session the issue is almost certain to resurface as a proposed constitutional amendment in 2016. A similar amendment narrowly failed in 2014. However, it is widely believed that in a presidential election cycle (when Democrats in Florida turn out by 4-6 percent more than in non-presidential election cycles) a medical marijuana amendment will pass.

The real question may not be whether a medical marijuana amendment will pass (recent polls show medical marijuana is supported by 70 percent of Floridians) but whether such an amendment will impact the 2016 presidential election.

It is true that most amendments don’t impact elections at the top of the ticket. That is because most constitutional amendments are issues that motivate the base of both major parties – but don’t bring out new voters. A medical marijuana amendment is different.

There were roughly 800,000...

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